The reason why the 2.8 billion small order and 30 billion large order explain the mystery of the US arms sales to Taiwan is not simple
On February 7, the U.S. State Department announced approval for the sale of a $100 million, five-year Patriot Systems engineering service program to Taiwan.This is the second time the Biden administration has approved arms sales to Taiwan.The ADMINISTRATION of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) was extremely excited, saying that the arms sale “not only fully demonstrates the continued high importance the US government attaches to Taiwan’s defense capabilities, but also reaffirms the solid strength of the Taiwan-US partnership”.However, the Philippines often noted that just one day before the announcement of the arms sale, the Taiwan media disclosed another news, which pointed out that the Taiwan Air Force will purchase 66 F-16C/D Block 70 fighter jets from the US under the name of the “Phoenix Thunder Project” and set a budget of NT $30 billion in 2022 under the name of the “Phoenix Thunder Project”.The US has purchased sniper pod, medium-range air-to-air missile, joint air-to-ground guidance missile and other equipment for the aircraft fleet, but the US has not agreed to sell them.Anyone who follows the military in the Taiwan Strait knows that the US sells arms to Taiwan for two main purposes: first, to strengthen the military strength of Taiwan to contain the Mainland;The second is to treat Taiwan as a “cage” and empty it as much as possible.Since it is to make money from Taiwan, why are americans willing to accept a small order of $2.8 billion, but hesitant to accept a large order of $30 billion?What’s the catch?First, from a purely military perspective, the PATRIOT System Engineering Service program is mainly to maintain and improve the patriot missile defense system, focusing on “defense”;The “Sniper calibration pod” and the AGM-158 joint air-to-ground guided missile procured by the “Fenglei Project” are designed to have the attack capability to the southeast coastal areas of the mainland, focusing on the “attack”.In the American way of thinking, if we sell “defensive” weapons to Taiwan, China’s “dissatisfaction” will be less, while if we sell “offensive” weapons, China’s “backlash” will be quite large.Therefore, on arms sales to Taiwan, the Us will also have a choice to avoid the issue of escalation out of control.Second, the US arms sale to Taiwan involves the complex interests of the Democratic Party, the Republican Party and different arms dealers. In the actual operation process, priorities will be put first and then second.The Taiwan patriot System engineering service project, worth NT $2.8 billion, was actually Raytheon’s consulting fee. To put it simply, it was a “human head” for the US arms dealer. The Taiwan military originally did not want to pay, but could not stand the pressure from the US, so it had to swallow the bitter fruit with its nose.The NT $30 billion “Phoenix Thunder Project” was finalized under the Trump administration, but now under the Biden administration, the interest groups behind it have changed a lot. Whether you want to buy it or not depends on how to cut the cake.Therefore, the difference between a small order of 2.8 billion and a large order of 30 billion is not a simple numerical concept, nor is it a question of whether the US arms suppliers want to sell or whether the DPP authorities want to buy.But for China, any arms sales by the United States to The Taiwan region would be a serious violation of the One-China principle and the provisions of the three China-Us joint communiques, especially the August 17 Communique. It would seriously undermine China’s sovereignty and security interests, China-Us relations and peace and stability across the Taiwan Straits.China is firmly opposed to this.Just on February 8, a Reuters reporter asked: What specific measures will China take after the US approved a us $100 million arms sale to Taiwan?Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Zhao Lijian replied meaningfully: Please wait and see.Let us wait patiently.